Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.012573 0.014589 0.016815 0.019452 0.022490 0.025879 0.029945
2026-02-01 0.009354 0.011903 0.014973 0.018937 0.023914 0.029955 0.037838
2026-02-08 0.007313 0.010079 0.013670 0.018663 0.025414 0.034215 0.046551
2026-02-15 0.005793 0.008569 0.012422 0.018139 0.026388 0.037835 0.054911
2026-02-22 0.005024 0.007912 0.012164 0.018847 0.029053 0.044017 0.067583
2026-03-01 0.004246 0.007083 0.011488 0.018784 0.030518 0.048598 0.078502
2026-03-08 0.003505 0.006165 0.010509 0.018061 0.030799 0.051343 0.086886
2026-03-15 0.003016 0.005573 0.009943 0.017887 0.031885 0.055420 0.097846
2026-03-22 0.002793 0.005398 0.010042 0.018831 0.034947 0.063090 0.115740
2026-03-29 0.002536 0.005117 0.009903 0.019316 0.037238 0.069670 0.132509
2026-04-05 0.002191 0.004609 0.009269 0.018784 0.037570 0.072761 0.143289
2026-04-12 0.001935 0.004235 0.008833 0.018558 0.038430 0.076885 0.156442
2026-04-19 0.001681 0.003828 0.008284 0.018049 0.038707 0.080009 0.168229
2026-04-26 0.001477 0.003496 0.007840 0.017693 0.039244 0.083707 0.181634
2026-05-03 0.001315 0.003231 0.007498 0.017501 0.040091 0.088122 0.197052
2026-05-10 0.001154 0.002944 0.007064 0.017041 0.040287 0.091185 0.209958
2026-05-17 0.001092 0.002880 0.007127 0.017724 0.043134 0.100285 0.237183
2026-05-24 0.000990 0.002701 0.006895 0.017674 0.044274 0.105732 0.256834
2026-05-31 0.000865 0.002442 0.006432 0.016997 0.043829 0.107508 0.268198
2026-06-07 0.000782 0.002282 0.006189 0.016836 0.044618 0.112250 0.287163
2026-06-14 0.000758 0.002277 0.006347 0.017728 0.048173 0.124027 0.324650
2026-06-21 0.000715 0.002215 0.006341 0.018185 0.050668 0.133485 0.357469
2026-06-28 0.000638 0.002038 0.006001 0.017684 0.050557 0.136388 0.373920